Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
65.27% ( -0.06)	17.66% ( 0.01)	17.07% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 65.45% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.6% (

0.05)

27.4% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.01% (

0.07)

47.99% (

-0.07)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.01% (

8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.81% (

28.2% (

-0)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

0.09)

28.86% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

0.11)

64.73% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 65.27%

Derby County Under-21s 17.07%

Draw 17.66%

Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.27%	1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 17.66%	1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 17.07%