Premier League 2 - Div 1

Sep 25, 2023 at 7pm UK

Eppleton Colliery Football Ground

Sunderland U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Aouchiche (25'), Taylor (31' pen.), Gardner (80')
Bainbridge (20'), Taylor (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brown (60')
Cox (30'), Robinson (38'), Johnson (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Sunderland U21s 5-5 Man Utd U21s
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 1 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
55.46% ( 0.54)	20.18% ( -0.11)	24.35% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 68.02% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.87% (

0.06)

29.13% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.86% (

0.07)

50.13% (

-0.08)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

0.16)

10.77% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.23% (

0.36)

34.77% (

-0.36)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.27)

23.76% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

-0.39)

57.91% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Sunderland Under-21s 55.47%

Derby County Under-21s 24.35%

Draw 20.18%

Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.3% 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 55.47%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.18%	1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.35%