MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:45:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
3 - 5
Aston Villa U21s

Borland (8' og.), Nwaneri (86', 90+4')
Walters (41'), Gower (45+3'), Nichols (68')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Pierre (25', 47'), Moore (39', 77'), Patterson (45')
Moore (73')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke U21s 2-2 Arsenal U21s
Monday, April 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 0-4 Chelsea U21s
Monday, April 8 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 3-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
48.62% (0.485 0.48) 19.77% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 31.62% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 76.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.8% (-0.143 -0.14)21.2% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.21% (-0.201 -0.2)39.79% (0.204 0.2)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (0.072999999999993 0.07)9.83% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.37% (0.166 0.17)32.63% (-0.163 -0.16)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)15.46% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.67% (-0.516 -0.52)44.32% (0.519 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 48.62%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 31.62%
    Draw 19.77%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.53% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.063 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.026 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
5-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 48.62%
2-2 @ 7.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-1 @ 6.58% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 3.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.017 0.02)
4-4 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.77%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.43% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 31.62%

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