Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.