Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Albania had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%).
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