Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.