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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Aveley

Swift (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odelusi (45' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
42.26% (0.119 0.12) 26.14% (0.012 0.01) 31.6% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)51.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)73.43% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (0.01700000000001 0.02)24.21% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.56% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.139 -0.14)30.43% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.165 -0.16)66.63% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.26%
    Aveley 31.6%
    Draw 26.14%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.6%

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