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National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Stadium

Cheshunt
1 - 2
St Albans City

Frempah (90+4')
Edwards (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jeffers (59', 67')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Cheshunt and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
CheshuntDrawSt Albans City
29.47% (-0.907 -0.91) 25.89% (-0.029 -0.03) 44.65% (0.94 0.94)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-0.279 -0.28)51.45% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-0.242 -0.24)73.26% (0.246 0.25)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.797 -0.8)31.84% (0.799 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.922 -0.92)68.27% (0.926 0.93)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.328 0.33)22.97% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.48099999999999 0.48)56.76% (-0.477 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Cheshunt 29.47%
    St Albans City 44.64%
    Draw 25.88%
CheshuntDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.47%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.64%

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