National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City4 - 1Dartford
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dartford.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
67
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Dartford win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Dartford |
58.32% ( 0) | 22.41% ( 0) | 19.27% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( -0.01) | 46.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% ( -0.01) | 68.52% ( 0.01) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0) | 15.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( -0.01) | 44.47% ( 0.01) |
Dartford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% ( -0.01) | 37.97% ( 0.01) |