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National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Dartford

Dunne (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South

Dartford

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDartford
45.47% (1.084 1.08) 25.48% (-0.161 -0.16) 29.05% (-0.922 -0.92)
Both teams to score 53.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (0.222 0.22)50% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (0.198 0.2)71.98% (-0.196 -0.2)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.595 0.59)21.97% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (0.894 0.89)55.27% (-0.891 -0.89)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.551 -0.55)31.39% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.642 -0.64)67.76% (0.643 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 45.47%
    Dartford 29.05%
    Draw 25.48%
Chelmsford CityDrawDartford
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 4% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.195 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.05%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Dartford
2-1
Chelmsford City
Jebb (19'), Leonard (26')
Blackwell (51')
Porter (53')
Oct 25, 2021 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
0-0
Dartford

Dickens (35')
Mar 15, 2021 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
0-0
Dartford
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Dartford
1-0
Chelmsford City
Marsh-Brown (23')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dartford
3-0
Chelmsford City
Hill (39'), Romain (45'), Husin (52')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
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