National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium
Braintree4 - 1Welling United
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Braintree Town | Draw | Welling United |
46.88% ( 1.46) | 25.28% ( -0.28) | 27.83% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% ( 0.47) | 49.85% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% ( 0.42) | 71.85% ( -0.42) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.85) | 21.28% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( 1.31) | 54.2% ( -1.31) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.64) | 32.22% ( 0.64) |