Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.