Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.