Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.