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Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution

NY City
4 - 2
New England

Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-2 New England Revolution

The Revs and New York possess some of the best playmakers and strikers in the league, but they each tend to suffer breakdowns in discipline near the end of matches, which has forced them to share many points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
60.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 20.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)40.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)62.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)12.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)39.21% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)72.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 60.88%
    New England Revolution 18.33%
    Draw 20.79%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 60.88%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.79%
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.33%

How you voted: NY City vs New England

New York City FC
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
New England Revolution
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
New England
2-2
NY City
NY City win 5-3 on penalties
Buksa (9'), Buchanan (118')
Polster (27'), Buksa (54')
Rodriguez (3'), Castellanos (109')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
Sep 12, 2021 12am
New England
2-1
NY City
Boateng (21'), Buchanan (65')
Kessler (63'), Buksa (64'), Polster (90'), Gil (90+3')
Rodriguez (11')
Morales (45+2'), Castellanos (52'), Andrade (74')
Morales (53')
Aug 29, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-0
New England
Castellanos (31', 55')
Rodriguez (37'), Sands (40'), Chanot (45+2'), Thorarinsson (87'), Jasson (90+3')

Farrell (45+4'), Polster (86')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-3
New England
T. (55'), Tajouri (85')
Castellanos (39'), Andrade (56'), Sands (77')
Bou (27'), Bell (78'), McNamara (88')
Polster (19'), Maciel (53')
Oct 11, 2020 9.30pm
NY City
1-2
New England
Callens (90+3')
Bunbury (3'), Nguyen (80' pen.)
Nguyen (45'), Caldwell (58'), Rowe (76'), Jones (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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