Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 22 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Minnesota United 1-0 CF Montreal
The Loons were strong defensively at home down the stretch of the 2024 regular season and playoffs, and we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal side that are traditionally slow starters in the early stages of a new campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | CF Montreal |
58.73% ( 0.38) | 21.02% ( -0.06) | 20.25% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.19) | 38.55% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.2) | 60.85% ( 0.21) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( 0.05) | 12.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.1) | 39.27% ( -0.1) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.42) | 32.52% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.47) | 69.05% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.25% |
