Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.81%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.