Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
4 - 2
Kansas

Joveljic (40'), Pec (54'), Paintsil (75'), Berry (90+2')
Joveljic (44'), Neal (49'), Paintsil (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Afrifa (66'), Castellanos (82')
Davis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Sporting Kansas City

While Sporting Kansas City will be looking to pick up where they left off against Seattle, they face the stern challenge of taking on a LA Galaxy side who have been near-impenetrable at home this season. We predict that Vanney's side will continue with their fine run at the Dignity Health Sports Park and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.81%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
59.81% ( -0.23)	19.27% ( 0.11)	20.92% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 66.62% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.05% (

-0.38)

28.94% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.09% (

-0.47)

49.91% (

0.47)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

-0.17)

9.63% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.82% (

-0.39)

32.18% (

0.39)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.13)

26.27% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

-0.18)

61.39% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.81%

Sporting Kansas City 20.92%

Draw 19.27%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 4% Total : 59.81%	1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.27%	1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 20.92%