Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Grenoble in this match.