Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.