Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.