Valenciennes

3 - 1

Bastia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.