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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Dec 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
1 - 0
Valenciennes

Drame (78')
Ndiaye (41'), Alfarela (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaba (54'), Linguet (89')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Caen
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 1-1 Amiens
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawValenciennes
38.01% (0.491 0.49) 31.15% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 30.83% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 38.79% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.18% (0.104 0.1)68.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.53% (0.068 0.07)86.47% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (0.377 0.38)35.11% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (0.392 0.39)71.86% (-0.392 -0.39)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (-0.275 -0.27)40.22% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (-0.253 -0.25)76.85% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 38.01%
    Valenciennes 30.83%
    Draw 31.15%
BastiaDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.78% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.01%
0-0 @ 14.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 12.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')
Jan 11, 2014 7pm
Valenciennes
3-2
Bastia
Dossevi (33', 35'), Waris (54')
Romaric (71'), Araujo (82')
Aug 17, 2013 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Valenciennes
Bruno (77'), Ba (79')
Diakite (35'), Yatabare (58')

Ducourtioux (34'), Lala (69')
Mar 30, 2013 7pm
Valenciennes
3-4
Bastia
Danic (30' pen.), Gomis (9'), Pujol (90')
Penneteau (24'), Sanchez (32'), Isimat-Mirin (36')
Maoulida (20', 49'), Thauvin (84' pen., 89')
Yatabaré (13')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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