Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.