Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 42.5%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 28.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.