Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.