Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
