Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.