Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.73%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amiens in this match.