Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.