Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Angers |
57.51% | 23.79% | 18.7% |
Both teams to score 47.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.38% | 52.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.73% | 74.27% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% | 18.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.97% | 49.03% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.67% | 42.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.28% | 78.72% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |