Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
58.9% ( -0.74) | 22.07% ( 0.18) | 19.03% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% ( 0.09) | 45.13% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( 0.08) | 67.48% ( -0.08) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% ( -0.21) | 14.98% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% ( -0.4) | 43.41% ( 0.4) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.41% ( 0.68) | 37.59% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.63% ( 0.66) | 74.37% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |