Liga MX | 2nd Leg

May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 1
Tigres

(Tigres win 5-4 on aggregate)

Lopez (26', 53'), Ruiz (45+3')
Mosquera (45+7'), Meneses (69'), Araujo (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cordova (71')
Fulgencio (28'), Pizarro (37'), Lainez (45+7'), Angulo (68'), Lichnovsky (81'), Carioca (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Toluca
Friday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tigres

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Toluca
Friday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Tigres
44.36% ( -1.4)	25.15% ( 0.04)	30.48% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

0.47)

47.92% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

0.44)

70.1% (

-0.44)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.44)

21.6% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

-0.67)

54.71% (

0.67)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68% (

1.19)

29.32% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

1.44)

65.29% (

-1.44)

Score Analysis

Toluca 44.36%

Tigres 30.48%

Draw 25.15%

Toluca	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.36%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.48%