MX23RW : Friday, June 28 11:25:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Toluca

Waller (75')
Arce (14'), Gonzalez (23'), Waller (45+1'), Garcia Banuelos (45+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopez (8'), Volpi (15' pen.)
Ambriz (0'), Baeza (13'), Gonzalez (42'), Volpi (78'), Meneses (82')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Puebla
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Tigres
Sunday, April 2 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
PueblaDrawToluca
30.79% (-0.107 -0.11) 24.55% (-0.044 -0.04) 44.66% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (0.145 0.15)45.11% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (0.139 0.14)67.46% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.124 0.12)20.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.2 0.2)52.68% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 30.79%
    Toluca 44.66%
    Draw 24.55%
PueblaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.66%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Mosquera (83')
Huerta (24'), Baeza (56')
Sierra (67')
Fernandez (17')
Barragan (32'), Silva (38'), Vazquez (39'), Aguilar (51'), Ferrareis (57')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Toluca
2-1
Puebla
Castaneda (19'), Huerta (45')
Ortega (47'), Baeza (75'), Sierra (78'), Garcia (81'), Sanvezzo (90+5')
Reyes (45+3')
Robles (39'), Barragan (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')

Rodriguez (62')
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Aug 29, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
4-1
Toluca
Ormeno (31'), Alvarez (40'), Gonzalez (81'), Escoto (90')
Alvarez (40')
Da Silva (20')
Sambueza (35'), da Silva (59')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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