Puebla

4 - 1

Toluca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.