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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Ferrareis (40')
Silva (18'), Ferrareis (53'), Robles (64'), Garcia Banuelos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (70')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 2-4 Puebla
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
35.33% (0.432 0.43) 27.3% (0.189 0.19) 37.37% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.711 -0.71)55.61% (0.714 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.585 -0.59)76.77% (0.586 0.59)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)29.97% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)66.08% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.703 -0.7)28.72% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.888 -0.89)64.55% (0.89100000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 35.32%
    CD Guadalajara 37.36%
    Draw 27.3%
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.36%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 10.30pm
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara
Puebla win 5-4 on penalties
Barragan (58')
Cisneros (90+6')
Sepulveda (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Feb 27, 2022 1am
Guadalajara
2-3
Puebla
Ponce (26'), Vega (41')
Olivas (30'), Calderon (60'), Gudino (70'), Sepulveda (88')
Vega (71')
Aristeguieta (50'), Cortizo (67'), Martinez (78')
Aristeguieta (30')
Nov 21, 2021 3am
Puebla
2-2
Guadalajara
Puebla win 5-5 on penalties
Tabo (20' pen.), Maia (89')
Parra (15'), Gularte (50'), Tabo (65'), Segovia (66')
Brizuela (6'), Mayorga (62')
Sepulveda (18'), Cisneros (39'), Brizuela (49'), Vega (65')
Jul 31, 2021 3.05am
Puebla
0-2
Guadalajara
Mayorga (55'), Brizuela (90+5')
Olivas (25'), Ponce (30'), Brizuela (70')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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