MX23RW : Friday, November 22 15:51:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Tigres
Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 12, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Universitario

Tigres
4 - 1
Toluca

Cordova (14'), Gignac (31' pen.), Vigon (45+5'), Lopez (72')
Aquino (6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Fernandez (8')
Fernandez (45')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Monday, May 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawToluca
59.24% (-0.88 -0.88) 21.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 19.14% (0.869 0.87)
Both teams to score 54.78% (1.579 1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (1.311 1.31)42.95% (-1.313 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (1.286 1.29)65.35% (-1.288 -1.29)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (0.15600000000001 0.16)14.14% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (0.304 0.3)41.8% (-0.306 -0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (1.723 1.72)36.2% (-1.725 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (1.711 1.71)72.98% (-1.713 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 59.24%
    Toluca 19.14%
    Draw 21.61%
TigresDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.235 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.14%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 7pm
gameweek 13
Toluca
3-2
Tigres
Lichnovsky (27' og.), Gonzalez (45+1', 69')
Garcia (13')
Gignac (76'), Lopez (90' pen.)
Samir (15'), Quinones (24'), Aquino (38'), Lainez (59')
Quinones (29')
Sep 8, 2022 1am
gameweek 13
Tigres
3-1
Toluca
Cordova (41'), Gignac (62'), Thauvin (80')
Quinones (13')
Meneses (68')
Apr 17, 2022 1am
gameweek 14
Tigres
3-0
Toluca
Vigon (59'), Cordova (67'), Gignac (71')
Pizarro (86')

Sierra (75')
Aug 1, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
Toluca
3-1
Tigres
Lopez (33'), Canelo (83'), Samudio (90+6')
Barbieri (90+10')
Pizarro (27')
Pizarro (60'), Vigon (61')
Pizarro (64')
Mar 3, 2021 1am
gameweek 8
Tigres
0-1
Toluca

Salcedo (2'), Quinones (7'), Pizarro (80')
Canelo (55')
Baeza (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!