Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 12, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Universitario
Tigres4 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Monday, May 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Monday, May 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
59.24% ( -0.88) | 21.62% ( 0.01) | 19.14% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
