Necaxa

3 - 3

Toluca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.