MX23RW : Friday, June 28 15:31:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Baeza (37'), Meneses (61', 86'), Volpi (90+6' pen.)
Baeza (10'), Garcia (14'), Huerta (33'), Belmonte (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Montano (16' pen.)
Colula (30'), Intriago (44')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Toluca
Saturday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 13 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawMazatlan
60.14% (0.114 0.11) 20.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 19.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.39% (0.049999999999997 0.05)35.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (0.055 0.05)57.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (0.047999999999988 0.05)11.56% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.1 0.1)36.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.38% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-0.052 -0.05)67.75% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 60.14%
    Mazatlan 19.64%
    Draw 20.22%
TolucaDrawMazatlan
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 60.14%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 19.64%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 1.06am
Gameweek 17
Mazatlan
1-0
Toluca
Intriago (68')

Mosquera (90+4')
Mar 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Toluca
4-1
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (25'), Lopez (45+5'), Araujo (48'), Sanvezzo (83')
Benedetti (38')
Sep 17, 2022 3am
Jan 22, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
1-2
Toluca
Bello (29')
Moreno (56'), Vidrio (90+5')
Sosa (73')
Canelo (69'), Fernandez (80' pen.)
Baeza (3'), Ortega (17')
Aug 17, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 5
Toluca
2-2
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (9'), Sambueza (38' pen.)
Barbieri (45+3')
Sanvezzo (32'), Emilio Sanchez Castillo (44')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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