Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Santos Laguna
36.26% ( 0.93)	23.57% ( 0.61)	40.17% ( -1.54)

Both teams to score 63% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.16% (

-2.92)

38.83% (

2.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.85% (

-3.14)

61.14% (

3.14)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

-0.86)

21.56% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

-1.33)

54.63% (

1.33)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

-1.9)

19.68% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

-3.17)

51.67% (

3.17)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 36.26%

Santos Laguna 40.17%

Draw 23.57%

Mazatlan	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.26%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.17%