Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mazatlan in this match.