Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tigres.