Liga MX | 1st Leg

Oct 14, 2022 at 3.06am UK

Estadio Hidalgo

Tigres
1 - 0
Pachuca

(agg: -)

Gignac (88' pen.)
Samir (17'), Guzman (88'), Cordova (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hurtado (25'), Murillo (40'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 2-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pachuca

All competitions

Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Pachuca
Saturday, October 1 at 11.05pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Pachuca
47.75% ( -0.8)	26.19% ( 0.28)	26.06% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.42% (

-0.69)

54.58% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.08% (

-0.58)

75.92% (

0.57)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

-0.65)

22.86% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.4% (

-0.97)

56.6% (

0.97)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82% (

0.07)

36.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04% (

0.07)

72.96% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Tigres 47.75%

Pachuca 26.06%

Draw 26.19%

Tigres	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.06%