Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Tigres1 - 0Necaxa
We said: Tigres 2-1 Necaxa
The last four meetings between Tigres and Necaxa have produced a combined 13 goals and we anticipate another thrilling contest at the Estadio Universitario. Tigres' home advantage gives them a slight edge and we are tipping them to extend their winning streak against the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Necaxa |
66.77% ( 0.84) | 18.95% ( -0.39) | 14.29% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
