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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Sansone (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), de Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan

Via del Mare is not a place to venture without caution, but Lecce are on a downward slope and Inter have been simply irresistible this year. Even accounting for some squad rotation, Inzaghi's boys can post another win and inch closer towards the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
19.1% (-0.507 -0.51) 23.51% (-0.255 -0.26) 57.39% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.342 0.34)50.98% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.299 0.3)72.85% (-0.3 -0.3)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.366 -0.37)40.92% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.329 -0.33)77.48% (0.33 0.33)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.40299999999999 0.4)17.54% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (0.695 0.7)48.07% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 19.1%
    Inter Milan 57.39%
    Draw 23.51%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 12.49%
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.39%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
10.3%
Draw
9.3%
Inter Milan
80.4%
97
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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