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Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Salernitana

Juventus
6 - 1
Salernitana

Miretti (12'), Cambiaso (34'), Rugani (54'), Bronn (75' og.), Yildiz (88'), Weah (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ikwuemesi (1')
Maggiore (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 3-1 Salernitana

Three days before they lock horns again in the league, two unfamiliar XIs may line up at the Allianz Stadium, where Juventus are set to secure victory and ease through to the Coppa quarter-finals. Aside from turning over lowly Verona last time out, Salernitana registered barely a handful of points on the road in 2023, and that trend will continue on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSalernitana
61.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.84% (0.096 0.1) 15.92% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.81% (-0.562 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.599 -0.6)53.06% (0.593 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.35% (-0.512 -0.51)74.64% (0.506 0.51)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)16.92% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (-0.347 -0.35)46.98% (0.342 0.34)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (-0.55 -0.55)46.06% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-0.427 -0.43)81.77% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 61.23%
    Salernitana 15.92%
    Draw 22.84%
JuventusDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.84% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 61.23%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.075 -0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 15.92%

How you voted: Juventus vs Salernitana

Juventus
88.7%
Draw
4.0%
Salernitana
7.3%
151
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Salernitana
0-3
Juventus
Vlahovic (26' pen., 47'), Kostic (45')
Sep 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Juventus
2-2
Salernitana
Bremer (51'), Bonucci (90+3')
Candreva (18'), Piatek (45+5' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Juventus
2-0
Salernitana
Dybala (5'), Vlahovic (29')
Pellegrini (40'), Danilo (82'), Rabiot (85'), Allegri (86')

Coulibaly (24'), Verdi (68')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Salernitana
0-2
Juventus

Gagliolo (25')
Dybala (21'), Morata (70')
Locatelli (60')
rhs 2.0
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