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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

Inter Milan
1 - 1
Lazio

Dumfries (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamada (32')
Casale (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 0-5 Inter Milan
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, May 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Lazio

With the hard work done, Inter have little left to play for, but they hold a proud home record and will be keen to avoid defeat against in-form Lazio. Back to full strength, the champions should be able to unpick their visitors' improving defence, taking them closer to a club-record points total. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
67.11% (0.22799999999999 0.23) 19.58% (-0.105 -0.11) 13.3% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.35% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (0.188 0.19)44.82% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.18 0.18)67.18% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (0.122 0.12)12.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (0.251 0.25)38.29% (-0.251 -0.25)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.2% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)44.8% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)80.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.1%
    Lazio 13.3%
    Draw 19.58%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
2-0 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 67.1%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.58%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lazio

Inter Milan
71.8%
Draw
17.6%
Lazio
10.6%
85
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Inter Milan
3-0
Lazio
Thuram (17'), Calhanoglu (50' pen.), Frattesi (87')
Calhanoglu (79')

Romagnoli (64'), Vecino (70')
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lazio
0-2
Inter Milan

Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')
Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
Anderson (30')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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