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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sassuolo logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Sassuolo

Sottil (17'), Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (58', 66'), Barak (62')
Martinez (32'), Comuzzo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thorstvedt (57')
Ruan (13'), Thorstvedt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo

While Sassuolo's defence is particularly suspect on the road, their hosts have the disappointment of a cup exit to deal with, plus a European semi-final on the radar; Fiorentina's lack of focus could help the Neroverdi pick up a precious point in their fight to avoid the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
63.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.06% (0.0039999999999978 0) 16.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)63.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.18% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 63.67%
    Sassuolo 16.26%
    Draw 20.06%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.97%
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Fiorentina
75.9%
Draw
17.2%
Sassuolo
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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