UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Marmoush (11' pen.), Koch (61')
Aaronson (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Polvara (22')
Gartenmann (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Aberdeen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Aberdeen
61.61% ( 0.23)	21.2% ( -0.1)	17.19% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

0.23)

44.23% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.23)

66.6% (

-0.23)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

0.14)

13.83% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

0.28)

41.19% (

-0.28)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.01)

39.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

-0.01)

75.87% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 61.6%

Aberdeen 17.19%

Draw 21.19%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.19%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.19%