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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Lincoln City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Lincoln City

With so much on the line for both teams this weekend it is likely to be quite a closely contested and cagey game, with neither team wanting to give too much of an advantage away. However, the strong run of form that Lincoln has displayed in the second half of the season should see them through here, with their quality likely being too much for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.95% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.012 0.01)23.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.75%
    Lincoln City 47.95%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Lincoln

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
7.4%
Lincoln City
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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