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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
46.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.0040000000000049 0)35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Carlisle United 27.53%
    Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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